BrainTrust Query: Can Paul DePodesta Knock It Out of the Park for Sears Holdings?

Sears Holdings’ Chairman Eddie Lampert has gone outside the box in an effort to add to his bench strength by placing Paul DePodesta on the company’s Board. Mr. DePodesta is the central character depicted in "Moneyball" who used his expert statistical and predictive analytical skills to influence decisions by Oakland A’s GM Billy Beane, and later went on to be GM of the LA Dodgers and later San Diego Padres. He is currently a VP with the New York Mets.
Can one man sitting on Sears’ board influence decision-making of a challenged iconic brand? Is a commitment to data and the insight that information provides enough to stem Sears’ quarterly sales declines?
According to one retail analyst, placing brilliant statisticians in a position of influence is a trend that is likely to emerge in traditional retail operations.
"What Paul DePodesta … did to bring analytics into the world of baseball is absolutely parallel to what needs to happen — and is happening — in retail," Greg Girard, program director of merchandising strategies and retail analytics for IDC Retail Insights, told the Chicago Tribune. "And he’s got street cred to take it down to the line of business guys who need to change, who need to bring analytics and analysis into retail decisions."
According to sources, those classic 7 a.m. daily calls with Mr. Lampert are heavy on data. A massive team of analysts, both domestic and offshore, compile a daily report full of data derived from Sears’ ShopYourWayRewards program as well as the retailer’s credit card programs. Mr. DePodesta’s challenge will be to take this big data and make it meaningful in order to drive key business metrics — average sale, units per transaction, conversion, cross-shopping and traffic. It certainly is a tall order for a board member.
At Sears Holdings, a loss of more than $3 billion in 2011 all but erased memories of small profits in previous years. Apparel and Home Appliances saw positive sales trends in the third quarter of 2012, but Home Electronics suffered declines given the heavy pressure on price through showrooming and price match strategies from competitors such as Best Buy, H.H. Gregg and others.
Mr. Lampert said the company was excited about adding Mr. DePodesta’s "strong analytical skills and talent assessment acumen" to its board. But he fits even better than that.
Once on the board, Mr. DePodesta will consider a complicated scouting report and set of objectives: a commitment to 1:1 marketing; leveraging the long-standing preference and affinity of credit cardholders; delivering relevant and compelling offers to ShopYourWayReward members; and innovating through mobile, social and online. The question is, can his expertise be applied to turning around the fortunes of a player that hasn’t finished in the first division in a very long time?
- Sears Holdings Elects Paul DePodesta To Board – Sears Holdings
- From the baseball diamond to the boardroom – Chicago Tribune
Will adding statistical superstars to a retailer’s bench become a new trend? How likely is it that Mr. DePodesta can make a real difference in Sears Holdings’ performance?
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14 Comments on "BrainTrust Query: Can Paul DePodesta Knock It Out of the Park for Sears Holdings?"
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There has been a steady stream of otherwise successful retail merchants that have passed through the Sears’ organization under Mr. Lampert’s tenure. No doubt Mr. Podesta will add tremendous insights and ideas, much like his predecessors. Also likely is that Mr. Lampert will do what he has done for all the others, which is ignore their advice.
There are no silver bullets in retail. It is a game of persistence and endurance. Color me deeply skeptical.
Mr. DePodesta’s appointment certainly can’t hurt. But it’s not a substitute for a clear strategy, which seems to have been lacking for many years. There are many smart people at Sears who would like to be unleashed to address the opportunities facing this iconic retailer.
Looks like a PR move to me. Yes, we hear a lot of hype about big data. But, given the amount of statistical work already going on inside Sears, I’d be surprised if there were a major insight that could dramatically change their future. Improvements? Of course. But enough to warrant a board position? I’m skeptical.
Right idea, wrong implementation.
Driving analytic insight and data driven decision making is critical to organizational success and is becoming less of a strategic advantage and more of a critical need for companies to keep an even playing field. However, thinking you can place a marquee name on a company’s board and make that have any real impact to a company is unrealistic.
As we move into the world of data scientists and big data, quantitative folks are going to occupy linchpin roles in the c-suite with a team that will drive analytics, economics and data based decision making through the organization. Doing that quicker, better and bigger will drive company success and in the case of faltering organizations, turn them around.
It’s a great move, but an incomplete one. Sears should bring this guy on in a top exec position, and pay him based on performance. Shouldn’t be too hard to lure him away from the Mets—they are a hopeless case, and their owner is even more incompetent and inflexible than the worst retail exec.
Another publicity stunt to raise stock price? If this was such a great move, it would have already been done by the successful retailers, not the low sales per square foot chains.
No. Sears has not lost its business to BBY or HH Gregg, but instead to poor customer service, the wrong product pricing, terrible product positioning and inventory control. Go into a Sears store and you will see tremendous numbers of out of stocks, bored store clerks that offer no assistance, poor product prices, and a misaligned retail model.
Everywhere you look it appears that the Sears retail model is broken. No amount of statistical focus, from a board member (not a VP or President) nonetheless, will fix this.
Certainly this is one way to get the Sears name on the front page again. Mr. DePodestra will not be up against a bunch of aging jocks in this battle. It still boils down to the right stuff at the right price.
Sears announces that they have traded the Craftsman brand for Allen Questrom and a merchant to be named later. Said Questrom, RFM, RBIs? Let’s walk the mall!
Actually, the amount of data we have around customer behavior, albeit not so deep historically, like: Like! or, big data sentiment analysis, indoor and outdoor traffic flows, and web analytics makes this interesting—is this when we find out the value of GMMs, DMM, Store Managers, Sales People, Facebook, Twitter, SKU count, Oprah? Maybe, but Steinbrenner stays—oh sorry, this is Moneyball and Sears is Oakland. I Like! Oakland.
They find a way to win, but the attendance sucks due to the location of the store (I mean stadium.)
I give up (sigh). Just when Sears was laying low and staying out of the news (so we can’t update the office pool on whether they will have single- or double-digit same-store sales declines this season), or more particularly as BestBuy, Supervalu and their ilk were hogging the headlines as fumblebums, Eddie-the-Great has another brainstorm…or maybe we can blame the Ouija board they seem to use for strategy.
But anyway, is he going to make a “real” difference? Of course not (any more than he transformed the Dodgers, Pads or Mets, for that matter). Sears doesn’t have a “statistics” problem, it has a number problem: that number is one, and it’s the one person who has to leave for there to be any hope for a future.