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December 3, 2024

How Can Grocers Appeal to Changing Demographics Due to US Multiculturalism?

The United States is a highly multicultural country, one which is only set to become more culturally diverse, as Supermarket News indicated. With immigration expected to largely bolster an otherwise declining U.S. population, the proliferation of grocers seeking to satisfy the changing palate of the American people is at hand.

In fact, according to a recent study by Credence Research, the U.S. ethnic food market is set to grow from $24.8 billion as of 2023 to an estimated $46.7 billion by 2032, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7%. Per the report, the primary drivers behind this growth are expanding multicultural demographics, a diversified palate due to heightened travel experiences, and a belief that ethnic food may possess health benefits not afforded by other grocery options.

What can grocers do to ensure they are properly meeting the needs of an increasingly multicultural population?

The Rise of Asian and South Asian Grocers

As The New York Times detailed, Asians represent the fastest-growing demographic in the United States, and that cohort is having an outsized impact on the grocery industry.

Although Asian American grocers represent less than 1% of the total grocery business in strictest terms, per the NYT, they are having a big impact on what products are hitting store shelves. Pointing to the fact that Shin Ramyun moved half a billion packs of its ramen noodles last year alone — and that products such as soy sauce, ghee, miso, and turmeric were also first introduced to the American market by Asian grocers — the outlet made it clear that “mainstreaming” of many products once foreign to the American consumer was taking place.

“Without Asian grocery stores, it is extremely hard to get into the mainstream market,” said Kevin Chang, director of marketing for Shin Ramyun’s parent company, Nongshim.

And as Kellogg Insight pointed out, South Asian consumers (listed as the second-largest immigrant group in the nation) are also spurring growth in the grocery sector. According to Kellogg, the average Indian American household earns more than twice that of the national average, making approximately $150,000 a year versus the average of $70,000. This places a lot of buying power in the hands of these households.

Birju Shah, a clinical assistant professor of marketing at Kellogg, indicated that this degree of spending power meant that grocers and retailers were set to compete for “the Indian share of wallet.”

“You’re going to see more Indian products sold in American stores because of the wealth of Indians and their desire for consumerism,” Shah said, gesturing toward Whole Foods as one example of this trend.

Changing Grocery Trends May Mean Shared and Community-Based Shopping Experiences

According to a separate Supermarket News report from 2020, there are differences in shopping behavior and preferences beyond the products stocked.

Citing Acosta Strategic Advisors data, the outlet indicated that shopping is a family affair in many instances. At the time, 72% of Asian American shoppers said they shopped with others, as did 67% of Hispanic respondents and 63% of African American consumers. Caucasian/non-Hispanic grocery shoppers came in at 55%.

“Through the research that we have commissioned and inherently, we know that many of our shoppers live in multi-generational households,” said Michelle Mendoza, director of marketing and customer experience of New York-based Associated Supermarket Group. “Therefore, familial shopping in our stores is a norm and Customer Appreciation Days become important promotional events that reward and thank the family for the business, not a single consumer.”

As Kellogg pointed out, South Asian Americans were also democratized in their choice of grocer when it came to produce — and the fact that many grocers aimed at serving this demographic had placed outlets near places of worship.

“Even if, behaviorally, we still haven’t entirely left the caste system behind, everyone goes to Patel Brothers,” Shah said. “From the richest to the poorest Indians, they’re going to go to Patel Brothers to buy produce.”

Americans of All Backgrounds Excited About the Proliferation of Product Offerings, New Brands

Some of the reactions to the corporatization of former neighborhood markets or regional brands are rooted in nostalgia, as The New York Times indicated. Many customers miss “the humble community anchors where they hung out as children, or that made them feel welcome in their first years in a new country.”

As first-generation and second-generation immigrant communities find themselves now accommodating change within their own neighborhoods and grocers, it remains to be seen how — as members outside of these communities now join them in their shopping experiences — these businesses will evolve to meet the needs of tomorrow’s America.

With the NYT signaling that consumers from each diverse demographic were becoming increasingly open to experimenting with new flavors, fusion cuisines, and market experiences, the question remains: What can grocers from both sides of the aisle — whether its established giants such as Walmart and Costco or growing ethnic markets like Patel Brothers and H Mart — do to appeal to customers traditionally outside of their long-established customer bases?

Discussion Questions

What can grocers do to ensure continued profits and market share as demographics shift?

Will larger grocers such as Walmart and Costco be able to successfully maintain healthy market share against growing ethnic grocery brands?

What opportunities do ethnic grocery brands have to capture customer interest away from Walmart, Costco, etc. and vice versa?

Poll

18 Comments
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Neil Saunders
Neil Saunders

Grocers should understand their customers and their needs, and they should range stores accordingly. This is basic retail 101 and the principles behind it remain true whether dealing with different generations, regions, or ethnic groups. To facilitate this, retailers should have a buying team that reflects the communities they serve. All that said, there is often a balance to be stuck by mainstream supermarkets serving many different groups. That’s why specialist supermarkets – like the dedicated Chinese, Korean or Mexican grocer – exist. They provide depth and specialism. 

David Biernbaum

I believe that smaller ethnic stores will open up in target areas as demographics change. In most major cities, this is already the case. I hope that immigrants will own these businesses. There is no way traditional supermarkets will be able to carry ethnic foods for everyone, nor should they even try. To do that, the entire store would have to be used.

Last edited 11 months ago by David Biernbaum
Christopher P. Ramey
Christopher P. Ramey

Location, perishability of product and loyalty complicate the inevitable. But, the natural order will prevail. Specialty stores will dominate the immigrant market while larger grocers dawdle and dabble to incrementally take share.  

Lisa Goller
Lisa Goller

As demographics shift, grocers can accommodate consumers’ diverse needs and eclectic tastes using a data-driven approach. Data insights at the community level can shape hyper-local assortment and promotion strategies, including preferences for Asian, Latin or kosher foods.
Grocery retailers can apply data to decide whether to dedicate an aisle to a range of international foods or curate ethnic items across categories and aisles.

Cathy Hotka
Cathy Hotka

Luckily for us, a proliferation of cooking shows are teaching us how to create international cuisines, which in turn will cause grocers to stock up on ingredients they didn’t carry before. There’s no downside here — grocers, bring in the international ingredients!

John Hennessy

The days of marketing to a few large customer groups is over. Instead there are a large number of unique customer sub-segments. Considerations like which generation, country of origin and language spoken in the home now need to be considered when defining a shopper group and determining the correct messaging approach. This fragmentation makes assortment selection harder. Marketing more challenging. And the need for shopper intelligence applied through hyper targeting essential to capture business.

Mohamed Amer, PhD

Traditional grocers are getting slowly squeezed. From the top, they are losing market share to mass chains and Amazon. From the bottom up, they’re losing out on the changing demographics and associated ethnic food opportunities. The diversity across generations and ethnicities and the explosion of culinary shows and YouTube channels are challenging traditional grocers’ strategic range and assortment decisions while eating into their share of a family’s weekly shopping trip. Traditional grocers have had the data and foresight to predict and act; however, they are challenged by their existing routines, which are decades in the making and difficult to overcome.
No single grocery model will capture or dominate all of the future growth. We will have a panoply of large traditional grocers, a handful of large warehouse-like outlets, and a multitude of niche grocers catering to emerging ethnic tastes. The continued growth of the digital channel will favor Amazon and Walmart’s expanding online presence while allowing new and innovative brands to leverage the DTC channel intelligently.

Scott Norris
Scott Norris

A good explanation of why grocery conglomerates can never achieve success through mergers – trying to centralize head-office functions leaves far too many evolving local and regional opportunities unexplored. And fresh food is inherently regional for freshness and safety, no matter how much the PE guys want to cut and consolidate. Beyond a few hundred stores within a day’s drive, there really aren’t national economies of scale – meaning scrappy local markets well-tuned to their clientele and regional farmers and producers will always be able to take share.

Oliver Guy

As someone living in the UK, this is a fascinating read. For in excess of 20 years, UK grocers have been tailoring their assortment to local communities in a noticeable way that reflects immigration and pockets of communities from different parts of the world.
I can think of two national brand supermarkets within 10 miles where you can see this in a big way. One has a large Polish selection – albeit the size of this has reduced in the past few years as the Polish community has reduced. At another – close to where there is a large community with Nepalese heritage there is a significant selection of Nepalese foods.
Specific supermarkets catering to communities exist as well – and this is what the national chains have responded to. Chinese supermarkets – selling many Asian specialities have existed for many years – but more recent ones have also appeared – ‘Polski sklep’, for example exist on many high street.
Key for grocers to respond is to localise assortments – which means understanding local demographics is key. This is where the difficulty lies…

Frank Margolis
Frank Margolis

The solution here is simply a remerchanding of the store. Shrink the space dedicated to sodas and chips, which have seen shrinking sales numbers for years, and expand the “International aisle” – which always should have been more than 1 aisle anyway.
I always chuckle when I see salsa stacked next to duck sauce next to curry paste – all of these unique, international flavors are popular with wide audiences, and this aisle should have been expanded long ago.

Scott Norris
Scott Norris
Reply to  Frank Margolis

But is some analyst in Cincinnati or Springdale fresh out of college who’s never had anything more than Panda Express ever going to be able to discern the differences in quality and flavor in the various available brands of gyoza? (or understand when shoppers will cross the nationality barrier and substitute jiaozi or mandu and what attributes and flavors they’re looking for?) Supply chains are always shifting, the tariffs are going to be a nightmare, and there isn’t sufficient US supply to maintain stocked shelves, so intimate knowledge of the product and its users is an absolute necessity.

Brian Numainville

At the end of the day, this is all about knowing your market area in terms of customers, trends, products, and community needs. With this knowledge, grocers can then develop the store formats that work best with the right assortment and marketing.

Gary Sankary
Gary Sankary

There are no categories that are more personal than food. Having assortments that meet the needs of customers is basic retailing. Knowing where those customers are and what their preferences are gets a little trickier. This requires local data to create store profiles based on the customers who shop there. It also requires the ability to create highly customized planograms to ensure that right products get the right exposure. This goes a long way to building loyalty. Customers gain confidence that their local store cares about their specific needs.

Kenneth Leung
Kenneth Leung

Larger chains like Walmart and Costco need to adjust their assortment based on local demographics and competition, not one size fits all. Costco does it quite well in my immediate area incorporating Asian offerings catered to the Asian buyer demographics, and Costco in other areas have different assortments and products. The key to success is localized offering.

James Tenser

Like others commenting here, I must express my initial advocacy for localized assortments in grocery stores. Let demographics within each store’s trading area suggest which ethnic foods are worth stocking, then monitor demand signals to confirm and tweak as needed.
On deeper reflection, this is not a trivial undertaking for mainstream supermarket chains which have built their business models around store prototypes. In the center store it may be fairly straightforward to adjust the size of “ethnic” shelf sets. The challenge is far more intricate in fresh and frozen categories, where turnover of specialty items may be low and sourcing requires working outside familiar distribution channels.
In visits to several “pan-Asian” markets in recent years, I have been struck by the assortments of fresh fruits and vegetables, seafood items, frozen prepared foods and cuts of meat less familiar to mainstream American shoppers. Certain core items, such as rice, teas, spices and packaged baked goods are sometimes displayed in multiple aisles, organized by culture of origin. No mainstream grocer (not even Walmart) could possibly find space for more than a handful of these items.

Last edited 11 months ago by James Tenser
John Karolefski

Grocers need to keep on top of how their customer base is changing. Who are their new shoppers? To become relevant to these new shoppers, grocers could create or enlarge an international aisle stocking appropriate goods and ingredients.

Brad Halverson
Brad Halverson

Grocers will experience increasing pressure over the next several years to update their product variety and selection as local demographics and tastes evolve. Smaller grocers find it easier to reflect and offer what the community wants in short order. But larger chains will have a hard time with this, as product and supply agreements are often dictated from the top down.

Bottom line, merchandising teams and store leadership must get closer to the customer and their wants if they expect to survive, or even thrive.

Last edited 11 months ago by Brad Halverson
Adam Dumey
Adam Dumey

Disclaimer: I absolutely adore H-Mart (Asian) and New Grand Mart (Hispanic).
I believe the beauty in multicultural grocery expansion isn’t about stocking ethnic products – it’s about creating spaces where cultural authenticity and cultural curiosity can coexist without compromising either. My children have a very different reaction going into a H-Mart than a Walmart or Wegmans. When thinking about these niche stores vs. traditional stores that create a much broader offering/experience, strategic store placement is becoming more complex. There is a more delicate balancing act between serving as a cultural anchor for established communities while simultaneously acting as a gateway for cultural exploration by others. To the article’s point, different communities possess varying levels of purchasing power. The most successful operators will be those who understand that their stores aren’t just selling products (though they tend to be differentiators), they’re curating cross-cultural experiences that preserve traditional shopping patterns while inviting new consumers to participate in cultural discovery.

BrainTrust

"At the end of the day, this is all about knowing your market area in terms of customers, trends, products, and community needs."
Avatar of Brian Numainville

Brian Numainville

Principal, The Feedback Group


"Specialty stores will dominate the immigrant market while larger grocers dawdle and dabble to incrementally take share. "
Avatar of Christopher P. Ramey

Christopher P. Ramey

President, Affluent Insights & The Home Trust International


"The solution here is simply a remerchanding of the store. Shrink the space dedicated to sodas and chips...and expand the “international aisle.”"
Avatar of Frank Margolis

Frank Margolis

Executive Director, Growth Marketing & Business Development, Toshiba Global Commerce Solutions


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