DISCUSSION

Monday Morning Quarterbacking Black Friday

Written by Tom Ryan
By Tom Ryan

With doorbuster deals aplenty and seemingly 24-hour shopping options, Black Friday 2010 delivered on the hoopla and, apparently, the revenues for the retail industry.

According to the National Retail Federation (NRF), about 212 million shoppers visited a store or a website over Black Friday weekend, an increase of 8.7 percent over last year. The average shopper spent $365.34, up 6.4 percent, according to a survey of 4,300 consumers conducted by BIGresearch.

"It's certainly encouraging to see an increase in traffic and sales from the four-day holiday weekend, however, consumers still have concerns about the economy, jobs, and paying down debt," said Phil Rist, EVP, BIGresearch, in a statement. "It was the consumers' search for deals and bargains that drove the weekend traffic rather than their confidence in the economy."

ShopperTrak said Black Friday sales figures for brick 'n mortar stores increased 0.3 percent with traffic ahead 2.2 percent. But the retail traffic monitor maintained its forecast for a 3.2 percent increase in sales this holiday season. It noted that the muted Black Friday results partly came because figures for the first two weeks of November were unexpectedly strong -- rising about six percent year over year.

"Additionally, a percentage of retailers concentrated on pushing folks to their websites with various online-only sales, which most likely influenced Black Friday performance as well," ShopperTrak founder Bill Martin said in a statement.

Among some trends spotted over Black Friday weekend:

More discretionary spending: The NRF survey found that shoppers are in the mood to purchase more discretionary gifts this year. The number of people who purchased jewelry over the weekend rose 14.3 percent, up from 11.7 percent last year. More people purchased gift cards, toys and books and electronic entertainment than a year ago.

Crazy hours: Sears, Kmart, Walmart, Toys "R" Us, Bass Pro and several other stores opened some or all of their stores on Thanksgiving in what members of the media entitled "Gray Thursday" or "Black Thursday." Many stores also pulled back their opening hours on Black Friday to midnight.

Small Business Saturday: While the commercial success is unknown, the "Small Business Saturday" promotion organized by American Express received a bevy of media attention concerning the plight of independents -- albeit not as much as the coverage given to Black Friday doorbusters.

Value over deep-discounts: According to the NRF survey, both department stores (52 percent this year vs. 49.4 percent last year) and clothing stores (24.4 percent vs. 22.9 percent) saw healthy increases in traffic, while the percentage of people who shopped at discounters declined 7.2 percent, from 43.2 percent in 2009 to 40.3 percent this year.

Online boom: According to Coremetrics, based on data from the sites of more than 500 U.S. retailers, online sales were up 15.9 percent on Black Friday, with the average order value rising about $20, from $170.19 to $190.80.

RetailWire also went out and about to do some unscientific tracking of Black Friday traffic at malls in Florida and New Jersey. See more images posted on the RetailWire Facebook page.

Discussion Questions: Did Black Friday weekend set the stage for healthy holiday spending? What, if anything, do you think is different about how retailers and consumers are approaching the holiday season this year?

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