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September 9, 2025

Is ‘Newness’ Enough To Reignite Lululemon’s Growth?

Lululemon plans to increase new styles as a percentage of its mix, from 23% currently to 35% by next spring, in order to spark a return to growth for its U.S. business amid heightening competition.

The ramp-up around newness comes as Lululemon reported second-quarter earnings which topped guidance, however, sales missed plan. Guidance was slashed for the year due the continued deteriorating U.S. business, as well as the margin impact from higher tariff rates. The removal of the de minimis exemption, which allowed shipments valued under $800 to enter the country duty-free, was also cited as a factor in the reduced guidance.

On an analyst call, Calvin McDonald, Lululemon’s CEO, noted that the retailer’s performance offerings, which account for about 60% of Lululemon’s mix, continue to grow in the U.S. with gains across key activities: yoga, run and train, golf, and tennis.

However, the remaining lifestyle mix continues to underperform. McDonald noted that Lululemon had already invested in the second half of last year in bringing “newness” penetration back to historical levels — largely through a combination of new styles and seasonal color updates within core styles — but the reaction to color updates was lesser than expected.

Lululemon CEO Breaks Down Issues Hampering Consumer Interest, But Signals Change Is Coming

Undertaking a deeper analysis, McDonald said Lululemon’s product life cycles within its lounge and social offerings had “run too long” and had become “stale” to its top consumers. He suspected the reason some older performance franchises are still seeing healthy demand is because the fabrics and innovations are “solving the unmet needs of our guests” as users work out, but also that relying on “core seasonal color interpretations” isn’t bringing enough freshness to casual assortments.

He added, “We have become too predictable within our casual offerings and missed opportunities to create new trends.”

Lululemon is also focusing on its capabilities to go faster within the go-to-market process, aiming to chase strong performing styles.

McDonald said Lululemon’s “brand health continues to be strong” in both retention and customer acquisition. He further said the recent success of the Scuba Waffle shows consumers will respond “when it is truly something [they have] not seen before.”

McDonald, however, also noted that the overall market for premium athletic wear in the U.S. remains challenging, with declines continuing in the second quarter. He said, “Consumers are spending less on apparel overall, spending less in performance active wear and are being more selective in their purchases, seeking out truly new styles.”

He said that Lululemon is gaining market share within performance apparel even as the sector has declined, according to the latest Circana market share data.

With investors concerned about the growth of Alo Yoga and Vuori, McDonald further pointed out that the “competitive landscape is different today than it was even 2 or 3 years ago.” The recent softness in lounge and social core franchises, he added, serves as a reminder of the “need for us to continue to create new styles so that we can stay ahead of those that are copying our successes.”

Lululemon’s challenges come as Nike is similarly recommitting to innovation after relying too much on its three classic franchises: Air Force 1, Air Jordan 1, and Dunk.

Discussion Questions

Do you suspect Lululemon’s stalled growth in the U.S. is due to lack of newness, weakness in athleisure, or heightening competition?

What advice would you have about fully leveraging and refreshing older franchises versus developing new ones?

Poll

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Neil Saunders
Neil Saunders

Lululemon’s revenue has risen 489% over the past decade, fueled by new customer acquisition in North America through physical expansion and growing mindshare. But no brand can sustain such a trajectory indefinitely; eventually, growth hits a ceiling. And Lululemon is now bumping up against it, with customer acquisition slowing. This was inevitable. 

What wasn’t inevitable, however, is the concurrent loss of energy in product design and innovation, which has pulled down average spend and pushed shoppers to competitors. Paradoxically, at the very moment it needed to accelerate, Lululemon eased off. It is now being hit by a double whammy. Correcting the product missteps will remove one of the blows, although it won’t change the fact Lululemon is a more mature business in the US with a slower growth profile. 

Neil Saunders
Neil Saunders
Famed Member
Reply to  Neil Saunders

Also, from our data, US premium athletic wear sales did not – as Lululemon stated – decline in the second quarter. There was still modest growth, it’s just that it is being diverted away from big players to insurgent brands like Vuori and Alo, and to niche players like Satisfy.

Scott Benedict
Scott Benedict

Stalled growth at Lululemon? It’s not just one thing—it’s a perfect storm. U.S. demand is softening as consumers pull back, the company’s rhythms have grown predictable, and tariffs are eating into profit margins. At the same time, athleisure is more crowded than ever—brands like Vuori and Alo Yoga are grabbing attention with fresh styles and strong marketing, undercutting Lululemon’s cachet  .

So what’s the play? First—don’t overhaul your classics if they still work, but treating them like fossils won’t fly either. Bring freshness into evergreen franchises—think unexpected colors, surprising fabrics, tighter development cycles. Meanwhile, invest in genuinely new franchises—men’s wear, footwear, maybe even casual work-from-home lines. These aren’t distractions—they’re growth vectors.

If they pull this off, Lululemon can reset. Lean into fast-paced innovation in U.S., even as international markets soak up slack, and right-size costs around legacy categories. Get that mix right, and the brand’s not just surviving—it’s plotting its next comeback.

Craig Sundstrom
Craig Sundstrom

Newness..for activewear?? Count me unimpressed; of course the goal is to make it more than ativewear – i.e. make it fashionware – but the proof of that will be in the doing…I’m not giving bonus points for being yesterday’s darling.

Pamela Kaplan
Pamela Kaplan

Post-pandemic and with tariffs in play, people shop differently—they buy what they need, or they’ll splurge if something feels exciting. Vuori and Alo are winning because they bring more fun and newness, while Lululemon leans a bit too much on its staples. The answer isn’t walking away from the core—it’s keeping those hero products strong, but adding fresh twists or new categories that bring in the next generation of customers.

Georganne Bender
Georganne Bender

Apparel items that are considered basics by some need a steady influx of new. Lululemon’s CEO wrapped it up nicely: “We have become too predictable within our casual offerings and missed opportunities to create new trends.” Lululemon’s core customers want – expect – more.

Jeff Sward

Sounds like Lululemon woke up one day and said, “Oh my, we seem to have a bit more competition than we did just a few short years ago.” The market today looks nothing like the market that Lululemon spent its first two decades in. To say that the competition is fierce would be an understatement. Strong competition + lack of newness/freshness = shrinking market share. Lululemon is still a great brand. Their amazing success created the market that so many others have now jumped into. They will remain a dominant player, but I think their days of robust growth are behind them.

Robin M.
Robin M.
Active Member
Reply to  Jeff Sward

Sidestepping the community efforts (classes, events) leaves the brand in a more middle ground. Athletics to wear elsewhere?

Value means different things to different economic levels, but the scrutiny for personal value is top of mind on broad level. Is the lululemon lifestyle branding still delivering?

Mohamed Amer, PhD

Increasing newness from 23% to 35% is treating symptoms. The real problem is years of coasting on brand equity while competitors built better go-to-market velocity. The athleisure wars are over. The wellness ecosystem wars are just beginning. Newness alone won’t win that fight—but newness powered by deeper customer intimacy might.

Lululemon’s advantage is no longer in fabric innovation; they need to invest there, but it won’t move the needle anymore. The future advantage lies in customer data and community, achieved by targeting adjacent wellness categories, including recovery, nutrition, and mindfulness tools.

Patricia Vekich Waldron

Lululemon is not longer the first stop or thought for athleisure because the other brands mentioned by others have merchandise that is more interesting to a larger number of customers cohorts.

Lulu has become a heritage brand in its segment and now has the challenge of retaining core customers while innovating.

BrainTrust

"Correcting the product missteps will remove one of the blows, although it won’t change the fact Lululemon is a more mature business in the US with a slower growth profile."
Avatar of Neil Saunders

Neil Saunders

Managing Director, GlobalData


"It’s a perfect storm. U.S. demand is softening as consumers pull back, the company’s rhythms have grown predictable, and tariffs are eating into profit margins."
Avatar of Scott Benedict

Scott Benedict

Founder & CEO, Benedict Enterprises LLC


"Vuori and Alo are winning because they bring more fun and newness, while Lululemon leans a bit too much on its staples."
Avatar of Pamela Kaplan

Pamela Kaplan

Principal, PK Consulting


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