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February 3, 2025

Lululemon Plans To Hit $12.5 Billion in Revenue by 2026: Is It Possible?

When one hears the name Lululemon, the image of an athletic woman clad in yoga pants and other athleisurewear may be the first thing that comes to mind. And while that’s the foundation of the brand’s business, expansion plans — and largely successful ones at that — are already underway, as Retail Touchpoints recently reported.

Citing CEO Calvin McDonald’s remarks made during the 2025 NRF Big Show held in January in New York City, the outlet detailed McDonald’s plans to continue the booming growth exhibited by the Lululemon brand while also gesturing toward the stiff competition it faces on its quest to do so.

Lululemon CEO’s 2 Pathways to Increased Profitability

McDonald began by underscoring his belief that Lululemon was far from a completely mature player in all markets and categories, with there being a substantial opportunity for growth in the years to come.

“I believe the brand and its opportunity for growth and innovation is significant,” McDonald said. “I talk a lot about being in the early innings of our opportunity in categories and the way in which the guest is looking for solutions.”

After successfully overseeing his “Power of Three” campaign from 2019 to 2023 — a plan to “double men’s, double digital and quadruple international revenues,” which was achieved ahead of the five-year goal — McDonald started a second project in the exact same vein.

The “Power of Three x2” campaign is set to double the company’s revenue from 2022 to 2026, aiming to reach $12.5 billion, and McDonald says Lululemon is already on course to beat the deadline.

The two paths forward? New categories and expansion into global markets.

“Our men’s business is 25% of our sales in the U.S. and awareness [of the men’s offering] is in the mid-30s. As the brand grows, as the assortment grows, we’re growing away from a yoga brand for her, so in the U.S. the opportunity is to continue to drive awareness as a brand for him. We still see a tremendous amount of growth opportunity in the U.S., through our stores, through our product innovation and category expansion,” McDonald said.

And as for growth, particularly further into China, which is Lululemon’s second-largest market outside of the domestic market, the CEO also laid his thoughts bare: “We have single-digit market share [in China] and low teens in awareness, so I’m super excited about the opportunities. There’s a growing culture there of mindfulness and health and our brand, through community, supports that with differentiated products.”

Under McDonald’s tenure, which began in 2018, Lululemon went from just 10 stores in China to 140.

Jim Cramer: Lululemon Has ‘the Most Momentum of Anyone in Retail Right Now’

Whether one agrees with his analyses or not, the host of CNBC’s “Mad Money,” Jim Cramer, seems to be especially enthusiastic about Lululemon’s potential upsides.

“There’s a lot of negativity today, so I figured I’d put something positive in. Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:LULU) pre-announced its positive upside. Now, they had already delivered a really terrific last quarter. Calvin McDonald is just excelling here. They had just a fabulous season. But they… have the most momentum of anyone right now in retail — quite extraordinary,” Cramer said on a recent broadcast, according to Insider Monkey.

Backing up Cramer’s analysis comes a brief report from Zacks Equity Research, which pegged Lululemon as holding a Rank No. 2, rating it a “buy” while also projecting growth this year of 12.5%.

Lululemon’s Success: The Power of Permission?

Finally, McDonald spoke of the concept of permission, at least as he sees it.

“My observation so far is that when we deliver on an unmet need in an innovative solution, we have permission,” he explained. The CEO spoke to the company’s prior failures in making inroads in the self-care segment (including deodorants and other health and beauty products) as well as the children’s market. Both of these missteps were made before he took the helm at Lululemon, as Retail Touchpoints pointed out.

Where he saw success in having been granted permission to provide solutions to customer needs was in women’s footwear, as well as in menswear. Discussing the former opportunity, McDonald indicated that competitors had made a grievous error in their assessment of the women’s footwear market.

“[Other shoemakers] assume that the feet are the same,” McDonald suggested. “Because we’re obsessed with science and feel, and [men’s and women’s] feet are not the same — there are significant differences between the width and forefront of the foot, the heel, pitch and angle, the narrowness of the back heel — we delayed the launch of men’s so that we could launch and be the first lineup of women’s performance footwear designed on her foot.”

After speaking of the red-and-white brand’s breakout success with its men’s ABC pant, originally designed for trainers but now making waves in the casualwear space, McDonald pivoted to opine more broadly over the company’s continued success.

“What’s really unique about the brand is it has permission across so many wear occasions, just on the performance side of the business,” McDonald said. “Think of the brand when it began — it was a women’s yoga brand. Now, today, we serve both genders and many activities — tennis, hiking, trail and running. It’s a really exciting journey of where product is leading us. It’s still early innings of growth, development and opportunity led by our unique approach to serving the community through differentiated product.”

Discussion Questions

Will Lululemon be able to hit its $12.5 billion revenue goal for 2026?

Is there something special that sets Lululemon apart from other brands in its space, or do competitors have the opportunity to claw back market share, both domestically and globally?

What do you make of McDonald’s concept of permission? Are the criticisms or additional comments to be made about the definition?

Poll

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Neil Saunders

This fiscal year, Lululemon will bring in around $10.5 billion in revenue. That means it has 2 years to add an additional $2 billion. Now, if it were reliant on the North American market for this, that might be a tall order. The market is fairly saturated with Lulu stores, is more competitive, and is mature. Growth has really slowed down. However, markets like China and the rest of the world are more embryonic. If Lululemon keeps growth in these regions at current run rates, it can hit $12.5 billion in two years, even if there is no growth in the Americas market. So yes, there is every reason for optimism. 

Last edited 9 months ago by Neil Saunders
David Biernbaum

Lululemon’s $12.5 billion goal by 2026 is ambitious but improbable for a variety of reasons. However, I am so impressed with its CEO, Cavin McDonald, that I believe there is a 50/50 chance of success. Retail markets are highly competitive, and economic uncertainty can hinder growth.
Also, because the company relies on a niche market, it might have difficulty expanding so rapidly.
Furthermore, supply chain disruptions and increased production costs could pose significant challenges in reaching such a high revenue target.
However, through innovation, new categories, and global expansion, McDonald has brought them this far, and he intends to continue along that path.
McDonald takes part in the Ironman triathlon. His personal and professional passions aligned, which is one of the reasons he left Sephora, where he was also a very productive president and CEO.

Gail Rodwell-Simon
Gail Rodwell-Simon

I like Lululemon’s chances at the $12.5B target. They did start out very narrow in women’s yoga wear and while that remains their roots, they have expanded the assortment to other sports, added men’s, are more size inclusive and launched footwear. I think that gives them a chance at a wider customer base as they expand globally.

Anil Patel
Anil Patel

Hitting the $12.5 billion goal isn’t a guarantee for Lululemon. Their growth strategy is smart, but competition in menswear and international markets is tough. The idea of “permission” feels overhyped because customers buy what they like, not because a brand has some special approval.

Lululemon’s edge is strong branding and community engagement, but that won’t stop Nike, Adidas, or even newer players from fighting back. If Lululemon stay innovative, they’ll stay ahead. But one wrong move can slow them down fast, be it pricing, weak global execution, or losing relevance among new customers. Success isn’t automatic, even for brands with momentum.

Gene Detroyer

With 140 stores in China, they have hardly tapped the Chinese market. With that in mind, their target should be reached and beaten.

Neil Saunders
Famed Member
Reply to  Gene Detroyer

Exactly, China is the fastest growing market for them at present and they’re just getting started. Their strategy is very localized in China, and it’s working well.

Jeff Sward

It’s one thing to look around the USA market and come to a quick conclusion. Saturated. The same scan around the market in China would yield a very different conclusion. Wide open…!!! Plus, a brand with Lulu’s strength can evolve and extend. Footwear is gaining traction. And menswear looks like it has plenty of room to grow. To me, that looks like growth in streetwear, not necessarily yoga. The men’s segment of Lulu has always looked more like contemporary sportswear than it did like yoga. Comfort and performance are powerful product attributes.

Lisa Goller
Lisa Goller

Foreign expansion and continued category leadership will help Lululemon reach its ambitious revenue goals. Brand power, consistent quality and badge value will attract new customers and keep discerning shoppers coming back.

Mark Self
Mark Self

Approximately two years to grow 20% does not sound like much of a stretch to me. Expand internationally, keep putting comfortable, athletic clothing on the shelves and watch the money come in.
Sounds so easy, right?

BrainTrust

"They did start out very narrow in women’s yoga wear, and while that remains their roots, they have expanded...I think that gives them a chance at a wider customer base."
Avatar of Gail Rodwell-Simon

Gail Rodwell-Simon

Strategic Retail Advisor, SPARX Advisory Group


"Through innovation, new categories, and global expansion, McDonald has brought them this far, and he intends to continue along that path."
Avatar of David Biernbaum

David Biernbaum

Founder & President, David Biernbaum & Associates LLC


"Foreign expansion and continued category leadership will help Lululemon reach its ambitious revenue goals."
Avatar of Lisa Goller

Lisa Goller

B2B Content Strategist


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