Amazon crushes it


Amazon’s first quarter results blew past analyst expectations. When all was said and done, Amazon’s net sales increased 28 percent for the period and profits were up for the fourth consecutive quarter.
On the retail side, Amazon saw Prime memberships for the quarter increase 47 percent in the U.S. In an earnings call with analysts yesterday, CFO Brian Olsavsky tied the increase to “a culmination” of investments the company has made in its own devices and original content.
“We are seeing tablets where we sold twice the volume in Q1 year-over-year. Fire TV Stick, you may have read in our press release that it has greater than 100,000 customer reviews, the most reviewed product ever; 62,000 or over 62,000 of those reviews are five-star reviews,” said Mr. Olsavsky (via Seeking Alpha). “We’ve not only had the Echo, but we have the Echo Dot and Tab, so we’re branching off that product line and having trouble keeping those in stock.”
Amazon’s original video content has played a significant role in attracting new Prime members, according to Mr. Olsavsky. The e-tailer recently launched a monthly subscription plan that enables members to stream videos of $8.99 a month, a dollar lower than Netflix. Amazon’s CFO said the company plans “to significantly increase” spending on original shows over “the next few quarters.”
Netflix is not the only retail rival being challenged. Amazon continues to invest in grocery product categories while building relationships with CPG companies through programs such as Dash.
“We continue to have a strong Fresh business in a number of cities in the U.S. We know customers love it. We’re making good progress on the economics,” said Mr. Olsavsky. “And you’ll also notice that we have other ways for people to buy consumable products. We have Prime Pantry. We have Prime Now. So we’re playing with a lot of different models to see what resonates with consumers and it’ll guide our investment decisions going forward.”
- Amazon.com Announces First Quarter Sales up 28% to $29.1 Billion – Amazon.com, Inc./Business Wire
- Amazon.com Q1 2016 Results (Earnings Call Transcript) – Seeking Alpha
- Amazon posts EPS of $1.07, shares pop 12% – CNBC
- Amazon profit crushes estimates as cloud-service revenue soars – Reuters
- Retail drama: Amazon undercuts Netflix – RetailWire
DISCUSSION QUESTIONS:
What is your take on the health of Amazon’s retail business based on the latest earnings report? Where do you think the company and its retailer rivals be in a couple of years?
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18 Comments on "Amazon crushes it"
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Four consecutive profitable quarters look good for a company that seemed willing not long ago to keep losing money in order to gain share and invest in infrastructure. Those logistics investments are starting to pay off, and the growth in Prime membership reinforces Amazon’s brand image as the best “execution” retailer in the business. The growth in Amazon’s overall profit gives the company some breathing room to reach into more and more categories — from grocery delivery to apparel — at the same time that it tests the waters in brick-and-mortar retail too.
Why shouldn’t Amazon be growing? They have almost every product in stock. All consumers have to do is click once and their orders promptly arrive at their doors. And they back their business with best-in-class customer service. On top of this, they have award-winning devices and offer top quality original content. Amazon will continue to grow and innovate. Other retailers need to find ways to differentiate and innovate or see their sales decline.
How can one dispute the health of Amazon? They are well-funded to support their broad spectrum of products and are disrupting the retail business in both growth segments (electronics and programming) as well as finding innovative ways to take business in established categories like grocery. Amazon is to this decade as Walmart was to the ’80s and ’90s!
Amazon will be bigger and rivals won’t. One of Amazon’s competitive advantages that is rarely mentioned is that it is one of the few retailers who doesn’t play the quarterly game and takes a long-term view. They invest in long-term plays, build and are happy to wait on results even to the detriment of the quarterly results. That long-term play seems to have crossed the line where the investment is matured and paying off. At the same time they continue to put the next long-term plays in place.
I don’t think any single area is responsible for their success. It’s really the breadth of offerings that sets them apart. They started with retail but had expanded to many other corners, each somewhat related. This diversification makes them stronger than ever. It just took the discipline to weather short-term loses while making the right investments. Now it’s paying off.
Um, am I the only one who noticed that the profits came from AWS, not retail?
I’m waiting for the activist investors to start demanding to split up the company.
The numbers speak for themselves. The knock against Amazon was that its model was not profitable or sustainable. Quite the contrary. The company’s continuing innovation, its customer intimacy and logistics system are without compare in either the online or the brick-and-mortar spaces.
Some things we know about digital media and online sales: The average time spent with digital media surpassed TV viewing time for the first time last year. Plus, e-commerce holiday share grew to 12 percent in 2015. Over half of all CPG sales in the next four years will be driven by digital/e-commerce. Further, it is predicted that 10 percent of all CPG sales will be online by 2020. In light of these facts, store based retailers need to invest in e-commerce.
Finally, if you were running a brick-and-mortar retailer and knew that 25 years from now one-third of your sales would be online, would that affect your quarter-to-quarter approach to the business? Remember, the mill cannot grind with water that is past.
I have always been one to say kudos to Amazon for trying new things and that if anyone can do it, they can. But I have also been one to say, where’s the beef? Yes, they are showing a profit. Finally but, like Paula mentioned, those profits are from AWS. This does not have anything to do with their retail business.
So folks, let’s not get too cocky about this. As a retailer, they still have some miles to go before they sleep.
For my 2 cents.
I agree with Paula. The financials show strength in AWS, which doubled margins and represents 60 percent of Amazon’s operating income.
Further, much of the recent publicized activity is outside the direct retail business. This includes logistics, with Fulfillment by Amazon potentially disintermediating UPS and FedEx, hardware, especially Echo and Kindle and Prime subscription costs, which were lowered to challenge Netflix.
Unlike others, I don’t see activist investors agitating to split up the company. Microsoft, Google and Apple missed expectations, continue to invest for the long term in money losing businesses like Amazon and face insignificant breakup pressures today.
Profit. Finally. But it would be interesting to know from whence it came. If (most) all the sales volume is still in traditional retail, whereas the profit is in Cloud and related video services, what would that say about Amazon’s model?
This would be nice to compare to the performances of Amazon’s competitors during the same period. The numbers are great, but online sales in general are going up so we can’t attribute all of it to Amazon’s awesomeness. However, Amazon is poised for a much better future.
AWS is a technology platform that enables virtual businesses. Netflix runs on AWS, Amazon is now competing with Netflix.
Amazon’s ability to expand their footprint is due to the fact that they can, specifically:
a. have customers willing to try new offers that are friction free
b. have leading edge digital tech know-how that allows them to project a virtual experience to digital touchpoints (AWS)
c. and there are more categories that can be “occupied.”
AWS is not some random piece of the AMZN success story, it is integral to their growth story. Software is eating the world, and our world includes commerce and retail. But as they say around here: Start-ups die of indigestion not starvation, and AMZN is acting like a start-up. Should retailers be happy about this? I don’t know.
It is great that Amazon is growing, but it is still not making a profit. The real key here is whether Amazon can sustain their model and be profitable. For Amazon this is a major hurdle in light of their immense sunk costs and ongoing growth expenses.
Amazon continues to set a standard for retail. Period. Focus on the customer, make their world better through knowing them and making it easier for them to buy and receive their purchases, whether analog or digital. And repeat.