Ollie's sign
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July 11, 2025

Has Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Figured Out Closeouts?

The bankruptcy of Big Lots and recent liquidations of Bargain Hunt and 99 Cents Only show closeout retailing isn’t a cake walk, but Ollie’s Bargain Outlet, by all accounts, continues to thrive.

With a recent opening of a store in Omaha, Ollie’s entered its 34th state with 599 stores, most located in the eastern part of the country. It claims to now be the largest retailer of closeout merchandise and excess inventory in the U.S., with Big Lots! shrinking from nearly 900 stores pre-bankruptcy to 219 with its sale to Variety Wholesalers.

With a slogan of “good stuff cheap,” Ollie’s promises to offer “real brands at real bargain prices up to 70% off the fancy stores!” Merchandise ranges from housewares and flooring to apparel, food, toys and electronics.

Ollie’s Humor Could Be a Selling Feature, While Ollie’s Army Membership Thrives

Ollie’s stands out for its sense of humor, including its mascot, Ollie, a cartoonish caricature of co-founder Oliver “Ollie” Rosenberg. Ollie regularly appears in advertising, as well as pun-driven marketing copy and in-store signage, with such playful lines as “Confusion is our most important product.”

“They’re quirky as hell,” Walter Holbrook, principal of Yoda Retail Consulting, told Modern Retail last year. “It’s just all kinds of just stupid slogans throughout the store that is, I think, the complete reverse of a pretentious atmosphere. It’s very down-home marketing, and I love it.”

It has also driven steady traffic with its free Ollie’s Army loyalty program, which offers discounts based on purchases, two exclusive members-only events and other surprise offers. In its first quarter, membership grew 9% to 15.5 million.

Ollie’s CEO Eric van der Valk said of the program in an analyst call, “Our Ollie’s Army members are our most dedicated, who account for more than 80% of our sales, spend close to 40% more per visit, and shop more frequently.”

Ollie’s Relies on its Buyers To Make Smart Purchases

Like other off-pricers and closeout sellers, much of the credit to Ollie’s success is attributed to opportunistic buys, which come from overstocks, package changes, manufacturer-refurbished goods, irregulars as well as leftover stock from closures at other retailers.

“Our buyers have incredible acumen for sniffing out the absolute best deals out there,” van der Valk recently told Nexstar Media.

Ollie’s took advantage of marketplace disruption to recently acquire 63 former Big Lots stores, speeding up its expansion. However, van der Valk said on its recent quarterly call that store closures — notably Joann, Party City and Big Lots — have also “created a tremendous amount of excess inventory.” He further said the chain’s “growing size and scale continue to benefit our buying power.”

Ollie’s Still Faces Headwinds Tied to Competition, Inflation

Ollie’s still faces many of the same pressures that doomed Big Lots, Bargain Hunt and 99 Cents Only. All three cited the impact of inflationary pressures and heightened competition from a wide range of retailers among the causes for their collapses.

Big Lots said in bankruptcy court papers, “Some of these competitors are large in scale and, as a result, have greater resources and purchasing power than Big Lots, making it increasingly difficult for the company to compete while maintaining solid profit margins.”

Asked by an analyst about Ollie’s ability to remain price competitive amid tariff-driven disruption, van der Valk said the chain would continue to lean on its “fluid and flexible model” to secure deals. He said, “We’re constantly sourcing and counter-sourcing product on a daily basis. This is the nature of the business. And we feel very good about our ability to maintain price gaps.”

Discussion Questions

Has Ollie’s Bargain Outlet come up with a formula for profitable growth via closeout sales?

What impresses you about the concept? Do you see high risks to closeout retailers related to tariff disruption or pricing pressures from other channels?

Poll

8 Comments
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Neil Saunders

As its growth attests, Ollie’s is a concept that works. If you visit a store, it is not hard to see why. The bargains and deals on offer are genuine, with some great savings over regular prices. There’s constant churn in the assortment, with a real treasure hunt experience. And the store environment – while basic and no-frills – is fun and engaging. That all adds up to a solid value equation. As I have said before, value retail is not easy. It’s not about buying a load of random stuff and trying to flog it for cheap. 

Neil Saunders
Famed Member
Reply to  Neil Saunders

Oh, and as for Big Lots – they did just buy any old stuff. And they sold it for pretty inflated prices. Which is why the concept went belly up.

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SophiaButlin
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Paula Rosenblum

I guess you have to be an old Bostonian, but Ollie’s has “figured out” the Building 19 model that was really successful in the Boston area (or Spaggs for that matter).. I suppose what they’ve figured out is how to do scale the business.

i was mostly out of the Building 19 demographic but it was known as a great place to buy rugs and carpet. And they had food all around rhe second floor, and their marketing ….well, it looked just like Ollie’s. I mean, exactly. I bought a lot of rugs and carpet and pretzels there.

i never found out what caused Building 19’s demise…..i was gone by then, but it was really a fun place..maybe we should find.that out It’ll give us our “watch outs”

Craig Sundstrom
Craig Sundstrom

The description provided here makes me think of Ollies as a soft goods version of Trader Joe’s; and it works for them, so… well not quite: TJ’s sells mostly own-branded goods, which they have a lot of control over, and everyone needs to eat. I’m also a little concerned – as opposed to cheered – by the observation that they “recently acquire(d) 63 former Big Lots stores”: unless done with due diligence, picking up locations of a failed retailer can be fraught with peril (they’re a failed retailer, remember?) As for tariffs, I see that as a threat to every type of retailer. With all that having been said, and noting the challenges Tom mentioned, I’ll wish them well.

Last edited 3 months ago by Craig Sundstrom
Mohamed Amer, PhD

Ollie’s hasn’t just “figured out” closeouts; they’ve built systematic processes around inherently unpredictable inventory flows. Unlike hybrid off-price retailers like TJX and Ross (which blend manufacturer partnerships with opportunistic buying), Ollie’s operates more as a pure opportunist, feeding almost exclusively off retail failures and distressed inventory. This distinction makes them genuinely anti-fragile – they get stronger as traditional retail gets weaker. However, their continued success depends on maintaining buying discipline as they scale. In comparison with off-price discounters like TJX and Ross, which are like “retail recycling centers” with diversified sources, Ollie’s is the “retail distress hub,” thriving primarily on industry casualties.

Neil Saunders
Famed Member

Ollie’s isn’t purely a closeout retailer. About 65% of its merchandise comes from closeouts, including excess inventory from manufacturers. The remaining 35% is sourced directly under contract – either as private-label products like Middleton Home or as unbranded goods sold at very low prices. The mix isn’t all that dissimilar to TJMaxx.

BrainTrust

"As its growth attests, Ollie’s is a concept that works. If you visit a store, it is not hard to see why. The bargains and deals on offer are genuine, with some great savings."
Avatar of Neil Saunders

Neil Saunders

Managing Director, GlobalData


"Ollie’s hasn’t just 'figured out' closeouts; they’ve built systematic processes around inherently unpredictable inventory flows."
Avatar of Mohamed Amer, PhD

Mohamed Amer, PhD

CEO & Strategic Board Advisor, Strategy Doctor


"I guess you have to be an old Bostonian, but Ollie’s has 'figured out' the Building 19 model that was really successful -- how to scale the business."
Avatar of Paula Rosenblum

Paula Rosenblum

Co-founder, RSR Research


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