Study: Private Label Dollar Growth Misleading

National brands may have less to worry about when it comes to private label than previously thought.
New research conducted by The Nielsen Company (a RetailWire sponsor) shows that while private label dollar sales in food, drug and mass continued to grow over the past year, unit volume was actually down.
"When private label dollar share started to spike, it appeared that shoppers were shifting to store brands in order to save money," said Tom Pirovano, director of Industry Insights, The Nielsen Company. "That’s always been the conventional wisdom during economic downturns. Digging beyond the numbers, however, it’s clear that private label unit share is essentially flat. Higher prices in commodity categories like eggs, milk and cheese are driving private label dollars, not consumers deserting traditional brands."
According to Nielsen, top sellers in private label tend to be commodity items with low margins that are susceptible to increases in the price of fuel and raw materials.
The importance of private label is also directly affected by geographic location. San Antonio has the highest share of store for private label at 25.6 percent. In New York, conversely, store brands only have a 10 percent share.
"Market consolidation appears to be an important indicator for private label share," said Mr. Pirovano. "San Antonio and other top markets for private label are dominated by just a few major retailers. New York and other markets with lower private label share, however, have several smaller grocery chains with less opportunity to establish shopper loyalty for retailers or their brands."
The experience of retailers in markets where private label is strong points to the opportunity for store brands to drive both top and bottom line growth for merchants.
"As prices continue to rise, private label products can be leveraged by retailers to entice consumers into the store and increase sales," said Mr. Pirovano. "Knowing what your consumers want is essential for developing your private label strategy. Do your customers want to save money with in-store brands? Are your customers willing to buy higher-end and more expensive private label products? In a challenging economy, private label products can serve as ‘destination’ products that truly differentiate your store from competitors."
Discussion Questions: What is your takeaway from Nielsen’s new dollar sales and units numbers for private label and brands?
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22 Comments on "Study: Private Label Dollar Growth Misleading"
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Another question is to ask is about VOLUME share and whether shoppers are moving to larger sizes in private label. There has been a trend towards premium vs. price-driven private labels, which will also somewhat inflate dollar growth at the expense of unit sales.
However, what is confusing to me is the 10 point spread between dollar and unit growth; that seems to defy logic and any reasonable look at price inflation over the same time frame. If it is solely influenced by dairy and eggs, then the numbers might make sense; however, that also suggests that center store non-perishable PL items ARE probably experiencing unit growth. This may be a fire and ice “average” generalization.
Understanding the data would be critical to more fully considering this analysis. Is Wal-Mart included in the data? How about clubs where they continue to increase business (especially Costco) and have a very strong PL offering. Is the dollar channel included? These key retailers have a huge impact on the total read of shoppers purchases of PL. HEB in San Antonio has a terrific PL offering and is a key driver of the results there. Conversely, NY does not have as much influence by national and global retailers that have the strongest PL offerings across the store.
I can tell you if you watch shoppers, they seem to be buying a greater mix of their total basket in PL products that span across categories when those PL products are available. Saving $$ is the shopper’s top criteria in a pinched economy and PL purchases allow them to do so effectively.
When the retailers in the US focus on providing high-end, unique products as part of their Private Label strategy, product sales and unit volume will increase. This has been suggested for years, and yet the majority of retailers continue to focus on an NBE strategy, and promote cost as the reason for buying their PL products. When one looks at the retailers that are doing it right (Costco’s Kirkland, Trader Joes), I think Nielsen would be hard-pressed to say that their unit volumes are down. The problem is not with Private Label as a category; the problem lies in the execution of the strategy by retailers.
Private labels will continue to increase only where there is quality and price. If the sale price of a major label is better, private label will fail. Sales will continue to improve for the private label that is focused on quality and value.
We are after all, a society that identifies ourselves with brands. Is it possible to glean from this that the major brands have so heavily discounted their products that consumers can often get the name brand with all of its cache for not much more than the private label?
This finding is a confirmation of the change in Private Label products. No longer is it just about low-end products. Considering the increase in organic/natural Private Label products, one would expect the dollars to increase. Before, due to the lower price points of Private Label, the units increased faster than the dollars. With higher quality and unique products, the dollars are closing the gap.
Far be it from me to find flaws in such a large company’s survey, so all I can do is cite our own work at RSR.
The fundamental incorrect assumption is that consumers are buying private label because they are trading DOWN. In fact, our own data shows that retailers aren’t increasing their percentage of “pure generic” private label merchandise (and yes, I agree; OTC drugs are the exception).
Retailers are much more interested in selling private label merchandise that’s on a par with national brands–just tailored to their customers’ tastes.
The move to private label is about retailer gross margin and customer preference–not low cost alternatives for consumers.
I like the geographic story here. It implies that consumers in different geographies are being re-trained to buy different brands and interact with retail a bit differently. This development could also tie into the new emphasis on “localism” in food and product purchases. The implication could be that a new era of regionalism could reign.
I am among many who have been predicting this development (or lack of development) in PL for some time, so no surprise here. We have also speculated that a great deal of PL growth is the result of grocers pushing national brands off their shelves and replacing them with store brands, and not from shoppers clamoring for store brands. I would be interested in whether Nielsen has any data to prove or disprove that theory.
Not all private label is created equal. PL growth projections must segment the store brand universe by both type of product and type of private label.
The more technologically complex and proprietary the production processes, the lower the private label potential…today and forever. Commodities are the private label power zone and the Nielsen study shows that many are capping out in units and growing only by price increases.
Then private label brands must be viewed by price/value tier and by whether they are retailer’s own brand (e.g., Sam’s Choice) or a separately branded exclusive line (CVS’ Lumene). Both are growing but for different reasons and in different ways.
Gas prices are up. Money left in the wallet for groceries is down. It should not be a surprise to find Private Label sales and dollars per unit have increased. PL products have come a long way with their excellent quality in the recent years. The changing economy is leading to more trial, and the opportunity should be used as an opportunity by smart retailers.
Some time ago RetailWire did an excellent presentation on Private Label. I still use the knowledge gained from that webinar for strategy.
In general, Private Label is not being properly managed. It is over SKUed. It is priced too low in many circumstances, packaging is unattractive, and it still maintains the “low bidder” mentality. Private Label Pricing drives down category average pricing, and the promotion price points of 10 for 10 and Bogo erodes the inherent profits. A well managed PL program, with quality manufacture, will maintain pace with National brands.
Lies, damn lies and statistics. Private label branding is the most profitable categories (and one of the fastest growing) in retail. No matter how you determine this, year after year returns to the bottom line, gross margin dollars or unit growth, it continues to defy averages from other categories in each of these areas. It returns more dollars and gathers a larger percentage of retail shelf space every year. What else can you say?
Private label growth is low because retailers committed to private label aren’t building many new locations. Warehouse stores, conventional supermarket chains, and mass merchants have all cut their new store opening budgets way back. The only private label fans opening lots of new stores: drug chains and Trader Joe’s.
PL is here to stay. Quality has improved tremendously; put that together with cost savings and the consumer is definitely on board. Regardless of economy PL has made inroads and I believe will continue to draw consumers in.
The center store non perishable items have the most to gain. With correct positioning and promotion it will hold its own, and most likely see continued gain.