Walmart logo next to an outline of Africa
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October 4, 2023

Walmart Doubles Down in Africa, but Will It Pay Off?

According to The Wall Street Journal, Walmart is going all in on Africa after already spending $2.4 billion to acquire a majority stake in Massmart, a South African retailer and the second-largest distributor of consumer goods in Africa. When the retailer made this move, executives in Bentonville, Arkansas, “hailed the acquisition as Walmart’s entry into the world’s youngest continent and one of its fastest-growing consumer markets, which was booming amid record commodity prices.”

Despite its global prominence, Walmart has faced challenges in capitalizing on African markets. The setbacks began with the commodities downturn in 2014, were exacerbated by the pandemic, and further intensified with the economic repercussions of the Ukraine conflict, notably soaring inflation and weakening local currencies.

These obstacles led to a decline in consumer spending power in Africa. As a result, Massmart, a subsidiary of Walmart, had to shut down its outlets in Nigeria, Ghana, Tanzania, and Uganda in 2022. Additionally, an electronics chain that wasn’t meeting expectations was closed down in March 2020.

Massmart witnessed a significant decline in its market value over the years, with its shares nosediving by roughly 75% between 2011 and the middle of 2022. This slump was much more pronounced compared to other retailers in South Africa.

Undeterred by this downward trajectory and previous global missteps, Walmart intensified its commitment to the continent.

The retailer acquired the remaining 47% of Massmart for an approximate value of $358 million (6.4 billion South African rand) late last year. This amount was a mere shadow of Walmart’s initial investment. Furthermore, the retail giant chose to remove Massmart from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange’s listing.

This strategic move by Walmart is particularly noteworthy, considering its past unsuccessful international ventures. A couple of examples include its 2020 decisions: withdrawing from the Japanese market after nearly two decades with a hefty $2.1 billion loss and parting ways with the U.K. grocery chain, Asda, at a loss of $5.7 billion. Walmart also faced a setback in Argentina, incurring a $1 billion loss on the sale of its retail segment there. Walmart has stated that these decisions were made so the company could focus on the highest growth potential in the long term.

Currently, “Walmart has operations in 19 countries, including the U.S. Walmart International recorded net sales of $101 billion for the year ended Jan. 31, flat from the same period a year earlier and down 17% from fiscal 2021. International stores accounted for 17% of Walmart’s net sales of $606 billion in fiscal 2023.”

And now, Walmart fully owns Massmart and has complete control over how it can impact and change the market. Even after some of the country’s worst rioting and lockdowns fueled by the global health crisis rattled South Africa’s fragile economy, Walmart trudges on by planting its key executives in Massmart.

Analysts and retail leaders point out Africa’s unique challenges, such as the high cost of mobile data in a region where most rely on phones for internet and the difficulties of last-mile delivery due to infrastructure gaps. The South African retail landscape is also highly competitive, teeming with several established contenders.

With an expanded tech team, Massmart went from 28 members in 2021 to almost 300 specialists at Walmart’s Bangalore tech hub, focusing on software development, product operations, and analytics to enhance its e-commerce platform. In October, Massmart’s Makro wholesale stores began utilizing Walmart’s custom software, which was designed for efficient online order processing and tailored for Massmart.

Discussion Questions

Do you think Walmart is overextending itself by attempting to enter and expand in foreign markets like Africa? Are there any ways Walmart can increase its chances of success when trying to establish itself in a new country?

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Neil Saunders

This is a long-term bet for Walmart, not a short-term win. Africa is full of opportunity and will, over time, become a much more significant retail market which Walmart wants to take advantage of. Massmart is the vehicle they’ve picked to allow them to do that. However, the road is far from smooth. There are plenty of competitors like Pick n Pay and Shoprite – both of which are very savvy operators. Their focus on e-commerce will take time to come to fruition because of a stack of challenges including logistics, lower online penetration, and the cost and complexity of last mile fulfillment. Walmart can be successful in overseas markets, as it has shown in Latin America. But Africa is a whole different ballgame.

Lisa Goller
Lisa Goller

Walmart is looking abroad to markets like South Africa, Chile and India to fuel long-term growth. South Africa offers a high growth rate in e-commerce, driven by a young, tech-savvy population.

Reports suggest Amazon may also expand in South Africa soon.

Partnering with local market experts is essential to understand and adapt to rivals, logistics and regional customs.

Peter Charness

Everyone loves a sale? Even though Massmart was bought out at a discount I find this an odd investment into a region that is highly competitive and subject to political and climate issues. I guess to a certain extent finding areas of organic growth within Walmart as is is a very tough challenge, so expanding externally has to be on the table. I wouldn’t sell short the management team and their ability to pull this off.

Ian Percy

Any mention of retail in Nigeria gets my attention. I was born and raised in a very small village called Kalgo in Sokoto Province on the edge of the Sahara, returning to Canada when 10. My missionary parents looked after a leprosy village among other things.

What I do know, even after all these years, is that “Walmart” has to become African in the fullest sense of the word. This is where so many US companies fail…heck some couldn’t even adjust to Canada! Albarka ce a gare su!

Richard Hernandez
Richard Hernandez

This is a big risk for Walmart.
Given previous experience in South Africa, and wanting to be proactive with Amazon, it is a big gamble. There are other competitors, that can press Walmart. It will be interesting to see how this plays out.

Craig Sundstrom
Craig Sundstrom

I think it might be more accurate to say they are expanding to South Africa – i.e. a specific country, more than some kind of continent-wide effort. I’ll wish them well, but…
but, unfortunately I see enormous challenges there: the country seems to be disengrating, and the challenges aren’t within the control of one company. IMHO, this negates any upside.

BrainTrust

"Even though Massmart was bought out at a discount, I find this an odd investment into a region that is highly competitive and subject to political and climate issues."
Avatar of Peter Charness

Peter Charness

Retail Strategy - UST Global


"What I do know, even after all these years, is that “Walmart” has to become African in the fullest sense of the word. This is where so many U.S. companies fail…"
Avatar of Ian Percy

Ian Percy

President, The Ian Percy Corporation


"This is a big risk for Walmart. Given previous experience in South Africa, and wanting to be proactive with Amazon, it is a big gamble."
Avatar of Richard Hernandez

Richard Hernandez

Merchant Director


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