Retail alcohol

January 12, 2026

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Could ‘Damp January’ Reflect New Consumer Attitudes Toward Alcohol?

Everyone has heard of “dry January” and “sober October” by now. But, what about “damp January” instead? In an examination of potential changes in consumer attitudes toward alcoholic beverages during periods recently held up as abstinence-heavy, Modern Retail’s Gabriela Barkho suggested that a third way forward was emerging: less shame, more moderation.

“This January, beverage brands including NA players are steering clear of villainizing alcohol. Today, people generally seek balance when pursuing their personalized wellness goals in a new year. That shift has made way for trends like ‘Damp January,’ which encourages creating more mindful drinking habits,” Barkho began.

“With this evolution, brands in the nonalcoholic beverage space are fine-tuning their marketing campaigns to reflect year-round interest in alcohol moderation. By using cheerleading-like marketing language over a shameful tone, brands hope customers will feel more receptive to incorporating their beverages,” she added.

Citing data coming from Oar Health that indicates Dry January participation has reached new highs as of late — coinciding with several reports that younger members of society, particularly Gen Zers, simply aren’t drinking as much alcohol as those preceding them, per an earlier NYT report — it could indicate that a new paradigm is emerging. However, it’s not as clear-cut as simply advocating for total abstinence-based messaging, which could invoke feelings of guilt, or shame, among some audience members.

Benjamin Witte, founder and co-CEO of Recess, was quoted by Barkho as noting that his company (which produces mood-boosting mocktails) was engaged in a broader strategy of endorsing moderation rather than complete avoidance of alcohol.

“We are trying to position [Recess products] more for the moderation market versus just sober or sober-curious people,” Witte said, also underscoring the notion that the bulk of consumers who enjoy non-alcoholic beverage products were more in-tune with moderation versus complete abstinence.

Retail Differentiation May Mean Even More Granularity in Terms of Demographic Camps When it Comes to Relationships With Alcohol

Speaking of The New York Times, Recess purchased a full-page ad with the NYT on Jan. 11, pitching the idea of “Quitter’s Day.”

“Perfection is a terrible New Year’s Resolution,” the full-page ad argues. That campaign also goes further with an influencer component, in-person activations, and out-of-home ads throughout New York. Witte stated that his company’s core customer base consumes it’s mocktails on weeknights (versus a traditional glass of wine), and in between alcoholic beverages while socializing.

As Barkho reiterated, the new messaging in the NAB (non-alcoholic beverage) space is actually keen on avoiding an “all-or-nothing” proposition, and Andrew Katz — CMO at Athletic Brewing, a non-alcoholic beer company — agreed with this line of thinking.

“[Of Dry January’s earlier abstinence-only messaging] But we want people to play it however they want, and we want to be a great option for them, which is why we’re calling it ‘Athletic January,’” Katz said.

On the other hand, the two major forces spurring change in the NAB sector (heightened competition and reduced alcohol consumption), may simply be extending their focal point beyond January or September, instead focusing on an ideal in which the mass of U.S. consumers opted for moderation year-round, including NAB selections into a rotation of alcoholic drinks (albeit fewer in number for the latter category).

BrainTrust

"‘Damp’ January gives consumers a chance to moderate versus cancel their alcoholic consumption. A innovative marketing strategy."
Avatar of Richard J. George, Ph.D.

Richard J. George, Ph.D.

Professor of Food Marketing, Haub School of Business, Saint Joseph's University


"I think leaning into moderation makes a lot of sense. Most people don’t live at the extremes, so flexible messaging is easier to relate to."
Avatar of Nolan Wheeler

Nolan Wheeler

Founder and CEO, SYNQ


"Cannabis and the exploding buzzy bio-hacking craze have also entered the 'migration.' Damp or dank, the exploding number of alternatives is redefining abstinence."
Avatar of Carol Spieckerman

Carol Spieckerman

President, Spieckerman Retail


Discussion Questions

Is it wise of NAB retailers and brands to migrate toward ‘damp’ January, or a position of consumer moderation year-round, versus one appealing to consumer abstinence? Why or why not?

Is there room for co-existence between NAB brands and traditional alcoholic beverage brands, as suggested? Do you believe individual consumers will select from both categories?

Poll

7 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
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Neil Saunders

Most consumers have not cut out alcohol entirely. However, many have cut back on alcohol. This reflects the growing importance of wellness alongside the continued desire to indulge and treat. That said, dry January is still a strong trend – mainly because it is a detox and reset after the excesses of the holiday period.

Last edited 2 months ago by Neil Saunders
Carol Spieckerman

Do consumers alter habits based on cleverly-named trends, or are existing consumer habits just being cleverly named? Cannabis and the exploding buzzy bio-hacking craze have also entered the “migration”. Damp or dank, the exploding number of alternatives is redefining abstinence.

Last edited 1 month ago by Carol Spieckerman
Nolan Wheeler
Nolan Wheeler

I think leaning into moderation makes a lot of sense. Most people don’t live at the extremes, so flexible messaging is easier to relate to. It also happens to work well for brands that sell both alcoholic and non-alc options.

Brad Halverson
Brad Halverson

Even with dry January, consumers have already chosen if they are completely out on alcohol, or to moderate, or enjoy more as they see fit. Both NAB brands and alcoholic brands should experiment with marketing messages that best works for them, to see what gains trial and traction.

Last edited 2 months ago by Brad Halverson
Richard J. George, Ph.D.

In the words of my father, “Everything in moderation, including moderation.” January is a new year, replete with resolutions. ‘Damp’ January gives consumers a chance to moderate versus cancel their alcoholic consumption. A innovative marketing strategy.

Mohamed Amer, PhD

This shift from “Dry” to “Damp” January is a smart category expansion, not a cultural revelation. NAB brands initially positioned for a narrow, sober-curious segment, missing the much larger opportunity among flexible moderators. The messaging pivot from abstinence to moderation correctly sizes their addressable market and makes commercial sense. The retail implication is straightforward: shelf space allocation should reflect this broader positioning, with NAB products merchandised alongside rather than segregated from alcoholic options.

Scott Benedict
Scott Benedict

Yes — moving toward a “damp January” or a broader year-round positioning of consumer moderation is a smarter and more sustainable strategy for non-alcoholic beverage (NAB) retailers and brands than appealing exclusively to abstinence. Modern consumers are increasingly nuanced in how they think about health and lifestyle: they’re not necessarily giving up alcohol entirely, but they are paying more attention to balance, wellness, and mindful consumption. NAB products that support moderation — whether it’s lower-alcohol options, better-for-you ingredients, or compelling flavor profiles — align with this emerging mindset without demanding full abstinence. That makes the category more accessible to a wider audience, including occasional drinkers looking to make smarter choices rather than giving up social rituals altogether. A strategy anchored in moderation resonates with the broader cultural trend toward health-oriented decision-making while retaining the joy and ritual that come with social drinking.

There absolutely can be co-existence between NAB brands and traditional alcoholic beverage brands. Consumers will — and already do — select from both categories depending on context, occasion, or personal preference. A weekend dinner might call for a classic wine or beer, while a work-night dinner or fitness-focused period might inspire a premium NAB choice. This flexibility speaks to a broader shift in consumer behavior that values choice and control over rigid categories. Rather than positioning NAB as an either/or alternative to alcohol, smart retail and brand strategies will treat it as a complementary choice that enriches the overall beverage portfolio and meets consumers where they are in real time.

In sum, “damp January” is not necessarily a fad but a logical extension of mindful consumer trends. It reflects real shifts in how people approach health, social engagement, and lifestyle balance. Retailers and brands that embrace moderation — providing quality, variety, and contextual relevance — can expand their appeal without diminishing the role of traditional alcoholic beverages. The winners will be those who curate both worlds thoughtfully, allowing consumers to choose what fits their moment rather than forcing a binary preference.

7 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Neil Saunders

Most consumers have not cut out alcohol entirely. However, many have cut back on alcohol. This reflects the growing importance of wellness alongside the continued desire to indulge and treat. That said, dry January is still a strong trend – mainly because it is a detox and reset after the excesses of the holiday period.

Last edited 2 months ago by Neil Saunders
Carol Spieckerman

Do consumers alter habits based on cleverly-named trends, or are existing consumer habits just being cleverly named? Cannabis and the exploding buzzy bio-hacking craze have also entered the “migration”. Damp or dank, the exploding number of alternatives is redefining abstinence.

Last edited 1 month ago by Carol Spieckerman
Nolan Wheeler
Nolan Wheeler

I think leaning into moderation makes a lot of sense. Most people don’t live at the extremes, so flexible messaging is easier to relate to. It also happens to work well for brands that sell both alcoholic and non-alc options.

Brad Halverson
Brad Halverson

Even with dry January, consumers have already chosen if they are completely out on alcohol, or to moderate, or enjoy more as they see fit. Both NAB brands and alcoholic brands should experiment with marketing messages that best works for them, to see what gains trial and traction.

Last edited 2 months ago by Brad Halverson
Richard J. George, Ph.D.

In the words of my father, “Everything in moderation, including moderation.” January is a new year, replete with resolutions. ‘Damp’ January gives consumers a chance to moderate versus cancel their alcoholic consumption. A innovative marketing strategy.

Mohamed Amer, PhD

This shift from “Dry” to “Damp” January is a smart category expansion, not a cultural revelation. NAB brands initially positioned for a narrow, sober-curious segment, missing the much larger opportunity among flexible moderators. The messaging pivot from abstinence to moderation correctly sizes their addressable market and makes commercial sense. The retail implication is straightforward: shelf space allocation should reflect this broader positioning, with NAB products merchandised alongside rather than segregated from alcoholic options.

Scott Benedict
Scott Benedict

Yes — moving toward a “damp January” or a broader year-round positioning of consumer moderation is a smarter and more sustainable strategy for non-alcoholic beverage (NAB) retailers and brands than appealing exclusively to abstinence. Modern consumers are increasingly nuanced in how they think about health and lifestyle: they’re not necessarily giving up alcohol entirely, but they are paying more attention to balance, wellness, and mindful consumption. NAB products that support moderation — whether it’s lower-alcohol options, better-for-you ingredients, or compelling flavor profiles — align with this emerging mindset without demanding full abstinence. That makes the category more accessible to a wider audience, including occasional drinkers looking to make smarter choices rather than giving up social rituals altogether. A strategy anchored in moderation resonates with the broader cultural trend toward health-oriented decision-making while retaining the joy and ritual that come with social drinking.

There absolutely can be co-existence between NAB brands and traditional alcoholic beverage brands. Consumers will — and already do — select from both categories depending on context, occasion, or personal preference. A weekend dinner might call for a classic wine or beer, while a work-night dinner or fitness-focused period might inspire a premium NAB choice. This flexibility speaks to a broader shift in consumer behavior that values choice and control over rigid categories. Rather than positioning NAB as an either/or alternative to alcohol, smart retail and brand strategies will treat it as a complementary choice that enriches the overall beverage portfolio and meets consumers where they are in real time.

In sum, “damp January” is not necessarily a fad but a logical extension of mindful consumer trends. It reflects real shifts in how people approach health, social engagement, and lifestyle balance. Retailers and brands that embrace moderation — providing quality, variety, and contextual relevance — can expand their appeal without diminishing the role of traditional alcoholic beverages. The winners will be those who curate both worlds thoughtfully, allowing consumers to choose what fits their moment rather than forcing a binary preference.

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