Rendering of new Walmart Supercenter
Courtesy of Walmart

How Will 150 New Walmart Stores Affect the US Economy?

In a bid to expand its already significant presence, Walmart is planning a significant escalation in its reach across the U.S. The retail company’s plans include the construction or conversion of over 150 large-scale stores within the next half-decade. The new stores will be predominantly new establishments, although some will be upgrades from smaller locations to Supercenters, which offer a wide variety of groceries and products.

Walmart opted to keep the locations and cost of these new stores under wraps. As it stands, the company boasts over 4,600 stores nationwide, with almost 600 Sam’s Club warehouses in its portfolio. The latter, too, is set to grow, with plans to open over 30 new additions in the U.S. This expansion underlines Walmart’s confidence in its physical stores’ future, despite facing stiff competition from e-commerce giants like Amazon and SEHIN, and its own efforts to boost online sales and its third-party marketplace.

The retailer has demonstrated remarkable resilience in the face of the economic climate, outperforming other retailers who have suffered due to a pullback in discretionary spending. As the country’s most prominent grocer and a favored discounter, Walmart has so far weathered inflation and managed to charm more affluent households into its stores.

Walmart’s U.S. CEO, John Furner, stated on the company’s website that 12 new stores will kick off this year, and an existing smaller store will be upgraded to a Supercenter. This move aligns with the company’s ongoing renovation plan for some of its existing outlets.

The upcoming stores will personify Walmart’s modern aesthetic, with a design often termed as the “Store of the Future.” This design concept focuses on more fashionable clothing brands, incorporates technology like scannable QR codes, and offers clear signage. Furthermore, these new structures will prioritize sustainability features, such as energy-efficient lighting and greener refrigerants. There are also plans for a network of affordable electric vehicle fast-charging stations to make EV ownership more convenient while visiting a Walmart.

Walmart’s Redesigned Stores

Toward the end of 2023, Walmart began its renovation plan when it revamped over a hundred stores to “pull in more customers and keep them in stores for longer.”

Despite remaining competitive in food sales, Walmart has found it challenging to sell items like home goods and electronics, which yield higher profits. To counter this, Walmart initiated a massive project, starting with remodeling 117 stores across 30 states. This came with a hefty price tag of half a billion dollars, all aimed at enhancing customer engagement and promoting purchases across all store sections. This effort is part of a broader $9 billion investment over the past two years to upgrade more than 1,400 stores nationwide.

In the modernized stores, customers will notice significant changes. For example, Walmart has relocated pharmacies to the front of the store, with new private screening rooms. Moreover, the company has creatively displayed home goods like bedding products at the end of aisles with an interactive approach, hoping to draw customers’ attention and encourage interactions with the products.

In line with its reputation as the country’s leading discount chain, Walmart has also introduced new “dollar shops” within the remodeled stores. These shops offer seasonally appropriate items at low prices every day. Plus, there’s a convenient “Grab & Go” food section for customers who wish to pick up wraps, sandwiches, or cold beverages on the go.

While the changes may not seem drastically different from the regular Walmart store setup, these modifications come at a time when the company is keen on boosting sales. The goal is not just to attract new customers but to enhance their shopping experience and keep them in the store for extended periods.

The Walmart Economy

Walmart thrives on providing affordable products to customers. According to Business News Daily, this, in essence, creates a “Walmart economy,” where consumers can purchase necessary goods at cost-effective prices, instead of shelling out more at expensive retailers.

Savings from low-priced products are a considerable boon to many people. It allows customers to spend less on necessities like household goods and instead channel that money toward nonessential expenditures, like dinner or a movie.

However, this economy also has a less desirable side, where small businesses end up suffering. Small businesses are crucial for any economy. They open doors for innovation, create jobs, and nurture entrepreneurship.

Let’s examine the pros and cons of the “Walmart Effect.”

When Walmart sets up shop in a location, it acts as a magnet for other businesses. Its low prices pull in consumers from surrounding areas. These consumers, drawn by Walmart, often end up spending at nearby businesses too. This scenario is especially beneficial in rural areas, where access to essential goods might be challenging. Walmart offers a one-stop solution, saving customers from traveling extensively or waiting for online orders.

On the downside, however, Walmart’s entry into markets already serviced adequately by local businesses can result in a steep decline in the latter’s sales. Walmart’s scale enables it to operate on smaller profits, unlike small businesses.

Unfortunately, Walmart’s arrival can also decrease local wages. According to a study by Puget Sound Sage in 2012, in communities where Walmart opens, wages drop and overall town wealth declines. This decline is mostly attributed to the lower-than-average wages Walmart offers to its hourly employees. A comparison with wages at other local businesses revealed that Walmart pays at least $3 less per hour. This wage difference results in an annual wage loss of nearly $660,000, due to the sales shifting from local businesses to Walmart.

However, Walmart increased its minimum wage last year to $14, and it recently announced the raise of annual salaries for managers. Thanks to stock grants, “Walmart managers can now earn $400,000 a year, no college required,” according to NBC News.

Discussion Questions

Considering Walmart’s ambitious expansion plans and “Store of the Future” design concept, how might its sustainable design, technological integration, and focus on more fashionable clothing brands disrupt the existing retail landscape?

As Walmart demonstrates resilience in the economic climate and outperforms other retailers, what might be the long-term implications and potential challenges for small businesses and local economies due to the Walmart Effect?

Reflecting on Walmart’s concerted effort to remodel stores and innovate its physical retail spaces, how might this influence customer engagement and purchasing behavior across all store sections, particularly in the higher-profit categories like home goods and electronics?

Poll

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Neil Saunders
Famed Member
3 months ago

Walmart’s decision to open new and expand existing stores across the US is a huge vote of confidence in physical retail. Back in 2020, right here on Retail Wire, there was a heated debate about whether online would be 21.5% of grocery sales by 2025. In 2023, online was only around 9.6% of all food and grocery spend. So that prediction, as many of us said at the time, was clearly nonsense. As such, Walmart needs stores to drive sales, especially in its biggest category of grocery. To be fair, a store presence in a market also boosts online and allows Walmart to be more efficient in servicing online demand through omnichannel services. And this is certainly also part of the thinking.

As to why Walmart is adding new stores, that’s simple. Since the last big expansion there have been massive shifts in population and a lot of changes in the competitive landscape, including the opening of dollar stores and other rivals. Walmart has looked closely and has seen there are some gaps in its otherwise very strong store network. It is now infilling these to grab more market share and to boost sales. And with inflation falling and no longer flattering the sales line, Walmart is right to look to this avenue to boost its growth prospects. 

Craig Sundstrom
Craig Sundstrom
Noble Member
3 months ago

Significant ? Ambitious?? The words seems familiar, but they bear little resemblance to what I read in this story: with the quoted number being about 3% of the store base – over 5 years?! – if I had any thoughts at all it’s that the number seems rather low. Wouldn’t normal attrition yield this number, or even more (tho perhaps it’s a net number.) Still WalMart will be opening more stores than macy*s closes …or Sears/K-mart even has left.

Rachelle King
Rachelle King
Active Member
3 months ago

There is no denying the Walmart Effect on new markets. Generally, smaller, competing businesses slowly but surely thin out. However, since we don’t know which markets will be impacted, it’s a tough call on the scope of impact. A remodeled store may not have as much local impact as a new store.

Either way, it’s smart for any business, small or large, to stay vigilant on Walmart store opening plans. It’s likely Walmart may be the only retailer in the world where you know they’re in town without ever seeing the inside of the store.

Further, given Walmart’s increasing appeal to more affluent shoppers (hello, EV buyers), these new stores could have unprecedented impact; good and not so good depending on your type of business. Keep this one on the radar.

David Biernbaum
Noble Member
3 months ago

There is no doubt that new Walmart stores are a magnet for other businesses. Walmart’s economic impact will, however, be strictly local because new dollars will probably flow to the area it sits in.
On a wider scale, dollars will simply be spent at Walmart instead of other retailers. Unless the new Walmart stores drive incremental spending, the wider scale economy doesn’t expand. Db

Jeff Sward
Noble Member
3 months ago

One big question. How does Walmart staff these stores while paying less than the prevailing rate in the market? How do they open a new store and attract qualified applicants while paying $3 less per hour? That’s a big number at that pay range. Who is giving up $3 an hour to go to work at Walmart? Don’t get me wrong…I think Walmart is great. But the wage gap has me scratching my head.

Gene Detroyer
Noble Member
Reply to  Jeff Sward
3 months ago

I agree. I don’t believe that the local retailer is paying less than Walmart. Also, the numbers vary depending on the source. According to Walmart, their frontline associates in the US earn more than $17.50 per hour on average. However, according to Glassdoor, the average hourly pay for a Walmart retail associate is $14–$16. Additional income can include cash bonuses, stock, commission, profit sharing, or tips.

Neil Saunders
Famed Member
Reply to  Jeff Sward
2 months ago

If Walmart pay was that terrible then they would have no one working in their stores. Aside from the usual staffing shortages that impact every retailer, Walmart has pretty good and stable staffing levels so their pay must be broadly acceptable to the market.

Gene Detroyer
Noble Member
3 months ago

One hundred fifty stores in five years? Thirty stores per year? This is no game-changer. It is merely actions good companies take to keep their business relevant.

Mark Ryski
Noble Member
3 months ago

The Walmart Effect is not a new phenomenon. For decades, local businesses in smaller communities have resisted Walmart, claiming that their arrival will adversely impact the community. And while the impact a Walmart store can have on local businesses can be significant, it also provides the community with an assortment of products at prices that they could not have had otherwise. Walmart also creates sustainable employment in the community. I question that Walmart’s compensation including benefits such as training and college support are being included. Notwithstanding the protests by some in the community, it’s important to acknowledge that there is an upside to the community of having a Walmart store and this often gets lost in a negative narrative that frequently accompanies Walmart store openings in new communities. 

Mark Self
Noble Member
3 months ago

Walmart saves families that shop there around $3,000 annually (ref. “The Walmart Effect” Charles Fishman). While the loss of small merchants is always sad, it is hard to argue with $3K annual savings for families that shop there. Smaller, single store merchants need to find other ways to compete (customer service? shop locally? spend more here because it is a cute shop?) in order to slow WM down. At the risk of sounding like a cynic (innocent!) you could make an argument that small stores value proposition has always been location, built around vibrant town squares (“Back to the Future” anyone?) which are no longer vibrant. The game has changed and these small stores need to figure it out, which sadly is probably not going to happen.

Brandon Rael
Active Member
3 months ago

About 90% of the U.S. population already lives within 10 miles of a Walmart store. Walmart’s announcement that they are planning to open more than 150 of its large-format stores over the next five years comes as no surprise. In the race to mitigate the last mile of the supply chain in an efficient and cost-conscious way, Walmart’s supercenters are a competitive differentiator.
Walmart’s competitive advantages include its stores, fully integrated supply chain, and proximity to its customers. The ability to leverage their stores as fulfillment centers for same-day delivery, BOPIS, and curbside pickup is a value proposition that is hard to beat. 
Walmart is signaling that it sees its brick-and-mortar locations as a critical part of the future, despite heightened competition with online players like Amazon and SHEIN and its push for the growth of online sales and its third-party marketplace
“Omni always” – Walmart’s omnichannel strategies continue to accelerate as store presence in a market drives online sales and helps to round out the last-mile distribution network with store collection and shipping services
As the nation’s largest grocer by revenue and a well-known discounter, Walmart has better weathered inflation and even attracted more upper-income households to its stores
The “store of the future” design has a sleeker layout that emphasizes the retailer’s fashion-forward apparel brands, adds technology like scannable QR codes, and features sharper signage

Gary Sankary
Noble Member
3 months ago

Every remodel creates interest and drives sales growth- for a while, anyway, until the blush wears off. Walmart has been hitting on all cylinders lately. This move will play to their strengths, including providing more nodes in their fulfillment network to even more access to their Walmart+ services. It’s not a stretch to predict a win for Walmart here for the local economies. Walmart 2024 is far different from the 90s and early 2000s when it caused chaos on main streets across the country. Back then, Walmart was a new brand in many of these markets, and they rarely paid their employees enough to get buy or gave them enough hours to earn benefits.
Today, assuming rural expansion, the dollar stores are far more likely to be impacted by a new Walmart than the local businesses. By offering delivery and pickup, they’ve found a niche that their low-price competition can’t match. In addition, where once a new Walmart in a rural town meant an increase in assistance programs and a drain on the local economy, Walmart has made significant investments in their store teams, raising wages and offering far more beneficial positions. After Covid, their goal was to have 75% of their store teams benefited.
Suburban and urban markets are far more diversified. A new Walmart will cause some shifting market share, but overall, I believe it will be a positive contributor to tax revenue and consumer spending power.

Lucille DeHart
Active Member
3 months ago

We have been saying “the store is back” and here is the proof. A brand like Walmart does not intentionally make mistakes, so if they see opportunity in the new footprint, I vote with them. I love the idea of a dollar section and grab and go food, this broadens their market base and helps to create traffic. It is a given that other, weaker, retailers will be displaced. But this is darwinian behavior in action. Walmart makes good stores better through competition and weeds out weaker players. My advice, find your lane and claim in. There is always room for best in class.

Lisa Goller
Noble Member
3 months ago

Stores are one of Walmart’s biggest strengths. Walmart’s store expansion will extend its grocery and low-cost leadership, helping more Americans access affordable goods. Thoughtful, customer-focused sections like Grab & Go foods and dollar shops will satisfy consumers’ need for convenience and value.

Offering a superior store experience will inspire customers to linger longer and spend more. The plan to add EV-charging stations will encourage customers to stay longer and explore higher-margin categories.

Communities and even competitors will benefit. More Walmart stores means more jobs and more opportunities to invigorate the assortment strategy by sourcing from local brands. Also, the new stores set an example for other retailers as stores evolve with technology and sustainability.

Brian Cluster
Active Member
3 months ago

Walmart’s ambition to add 150 new stores in five years and continue to update their existing store base is just smart business but I don’t see it changing the economy. Similar to their intensely detailed assessment of every single sku they are evaluating every single store and all of their markets to see how they can be better positioned to win in the future.
The electronics and home furnishing areas can be slower areas of the store. Testing new ways to merchandise, tell stories about the products and be more interactive may give them some new insights to re-energize these sections.
As for the 12-year old study about the impact of Walmart to local communities, I would be very suspect on the insights. Retail has changed so much in past four years alone including the large online competitors, it would be safe to say that the research needs to be run again to make sure that the data still holds true today.

Dick Seesel
Trusted Member
3 months ago

I don’t think a 3% increase in store count (and a parallel remodeling program) will have much impact on the nation’s economy — but it’s a good sign for Walmart’s health.

Scott Benedict
Active Member
3 months ago

As a former Walmart associate, I don’t see the remodel and new store openings having an effect in a given category per se but rather on the performance of those stores overall.
These new and updated stores will operate more efficiently, with the latest lighting and HVAC systems, and contain the latest technology to help associates be more effective in the operation of the facility.
Local communities will benefit from increased sales tax revenue, higher employment, and traffic around the facilities that other retailers will benefit from.
Lastly, this shows confidence in the direction of the economy by the company and in physical retail as a driver of overall sales.

Frank
Frank
3 months ago

What about the 100’s of empty Walmart stores they leave behind when they build a new “Super Center” down the Street? My area has 2 abandon Walmart stores that have been empty for over two years. One is being used as a parking lot for a trucking company – the other is boarded up.

Anil Patel
Member
3 months ago

In my view, Walmart’s strategic expansion, featuring sustainable design and a tech-centric “Store of the Future,” has the potential to revolutionize the retail landscape. The emphasis on QR codes, sustainable practices, and fashionable brands signals a shift in customer expectations, setting a new industry standard.

This move could position Walmart as an innovator, impacting competitors and reshaping customer preferences, however, the long-term implications of the Walmart Effect on small businesses and local economies need careful consideration. While Walmart’s commitment to higher wages is commendable, the overall impact on smaller businesses and local wages should be monitored.

The remodeling efforts, including department relocations and the introduction of dollar shops, are likely to enhance customer engagement and drive sales, particularly in high-profit categories like home goods and electronics.

Peter Charness
Trusted Member
3 months ago

Economy impacting….nope. This is just normal real estate portfolio management. Open some, close some, renovate others. Not even newsworthy frankly.

BrainTrust

"Walmart’s ambition to add 150 new stores in five years and continue to update their existing store base is just smart business but I don’t see it changing the economy."

Brian Cluster

Director of Industry Strategy - CPG & Retail, Stibo Systems


"Walmart makes good stores better through competition and weeds out weaker players. My advice, find your lane and claim in. There is always room for best in class."

Lucille DeHart

Principal, MKT Marketing Services/Columbus Consulting


"I don’t think a 3% increase in store count (and a parallel remodeling program) will have much impact on the nation’s economy — but it’s a good sign for Walmart’s health."

Dick Seesel

Principal, Retailing In Focus LLC